04/11/2017

Newly Released 2016 Election Map Shows Democrats Should Be Worried About Future

Martin Walsh, RedState

The Trump White House hasn’t exactly gotten off to the best start, but it is important to remember how unlikely it was that Trump was even going to win the presidency in 2016.

Trump went from having almost a zero percent chance of winning the White House to ordering missile strikes against the Assad regime in Syria after a chemical weapons attack.

Almost everyone got it incredibly wrong this past election cycle, so the most important question going forward is: which party is in better shape going forward?

Ryne Rohla at Decision Desk HQ decided to research voting patterns and models from a much different perspective to answer that question.

Instead of studying patterns from the national and state level, Rohla decided to dig much deeper and analyze voting patterns from local precincts.

Rohla explains the reasoning behind the study and the importance of it in his piece, “Creating a National Precinct Map“:

Election results show so much more than simply who won and lost a constitutionally-legitimized popularity contest. Election results lay bare the souls of its voters, translating millions of individual hopes, dreams, fears, aspirations, and biases into tangible, observable quantities. No census or survey can truly capture that singular moment of personal truth which occurs in the ballot box.

We can identify your race, your income, a list of a thousand other measurable values which statistically imply the outcome of this moment, but as deterministic as we might try to make it seem, it always comes down to a final act of free will. These individual acts sum to make manifest the inner milieu of a people at a particular moment in time, a secular sacrament ordaining to our political priesthood.

Succinctly, Rohla explains that in order to better understand “middle America” and what issues may be driving voting trends and patterns, there is a need to study data much more closely.

This would be very difficult, but necessary.

Precinct data, despite providing the clearest available picture of how areas vote, can be quite difficult to both come by and to visualize. There isn’t a singular, unified source of precinct-level data nationally nor even at the statewide level in many cases. Precinct boundaries frequently shift over time, especially during the decennial redistricting process following each Census.

After spending most of my spare time in 2015 working on a global religion map, the 2016 Presidential Primaries rolled around, and I decided to go for it: I would do everything in my power to create a national precinct map. I didn’t have a team of researchers. I didn’t have aides. I didn’t have much extra money. I didn’t have connections. But for some reason, I thought I could do it anyway.

Hundreds of emails and phone calls and months of work later, here’s what I came up with:

capture

Rohla also mapped out how precincts voted in 2012 when Barack Obama beat Mitt Romney:

 

capture

Read full article



You May Also Like:

The Alleged Kushner–Kislyak Meeting: Amateur Hour May Be Worse Than ‘Collusion’ Andrew C. McCathy, National Review

The Ivanka Entitlement Wall Street Journal

The Willful Murder Of Fox News [Watch] Dick Morris Reports

JFK's Surpassing Legacy: Economic Growth Brian Domitrovic, Forbes.com

Left-Wing Media Outlet Attacks Marines On Memorial Day Over ‘Toxic Masculinity’ Charlie Nash, Breitbart News

State High-Risk Pools For Health Insurance Could Play An Important Role After Obamacare Repeal Matthew Glans, Heartland Institute

Political Prisoner Freed Thanks To Trump Is Hoping He’ll Save Others Jackson Diehl, New York Post

Europe Fights Back With Candles And Teddy Bears Giulio Meotti, Gatestone Institute

Meet The Native American Indian Tribe That Helped Deliver Victory To Donald Trump [Watch] Daniel Allott, Washington Examiner

McCain Says Russia Poses Bigger Threat Than ISIS [Watch] Nick Givas, Daily Caller

In 3 Charts, The Biggest Revelations From New Obamacare Study Rachel del Guidice, Daily Signal

Liberals Teach Their Kids To Hate People Who Don't Think Like Them Joseph Curl, Daily Wire

Speaking With Health Care Policy Expert Avik Roy, Part III [Watch] Frank Camp, The Daily Wire

WSJ’s Strassel Destroys Stacked Anti-Trump Panel On ‘Meet The Press’ With Facts [Watch] Nicholas Fondacaro, mrcNewsBusters.org

Body-Slammed Reporter Fantasized About Punching Conservative Teenagers Ryan Girdusky, Red Alert Politics

Charity For The Homeless Refuses Federal Aid, Gets Hundreds Back On Their Feet [Watch] Kelsey Harkness, Foundation for Economic Education

I’m Not A Terrible Person, I Just Believe In Liberty Marianne March, Intellectual Takeout

Liberal Boycott Of Sean Hannity Backfires And Puts Multiple MSNBC Stars In Crosshairs Chris Enloe, TheBlaze

What About Health Insurance For The Poor? Learn Liberty

Liberals Are Shocked To Find We’re Starting To Hate Them Right Back Kurt Schlichter, Townhall

For More go to the Home Page >>>

Search

Bookshelf

FreeMarket Central

Some titles recent, all recommended -

Special Video Feature

FreeMarket Central

Voices From The 2017 International Students For Liberty Conference

In Search Of History

Cambodia's Deadly Experiment

In the 1950s, students started gathering in Paris. They were reading Karl Marx. They were forming book clubs. They were trying to come up with a better version of society. One that moved away from the division of labor. One that moved away from the capitalism in the big cities that they so despised. ... One of those students would change his name to Pol Pot. He and his colleagues formed a new political party, a takeover in Cambodia. They called themsevles the Khmer Rouge. ... Under Pol Pot and the Khmer Rouge, one out of four people in that country died in less than four years. 

-- Matt Kibbe,

Shadow Stats Snapshot


FreeMarket Central

ShadowStats alternate economic indicators are based on the methodology of noted economist John Williams, specialist in government economic reporting.

  • Unemployment:
    FreeMarket Central BLS: 4.4%
    FreeMarket Central Shadow Stats: 22.1%
  • Inflation:
    FreeMarket Central April Year-to-Year: 2.20% (CPI-U*)
    FreeMarket Central Shadow Stats: 10.0%

*[cpi-u is the Bureau of Labor Statistics inflation rate for all urban consumers]